Thursday, February 5, 2026

STEPHEN COUGHLIN: "Negotiated Settlements" are insurgency victories

The diagram in the image is an adapted version of the SORO (Special Operations Research Office) Resistance Pyramid, a model originally developed in the 1960s to illustrate the progression of insurgency or resistance activities from clandestine beginnings to overt actions. The title emphasizes the perspective that "Negotiated Settlements" represent victories for insurgencies, framing the pyramid's objective as achieving such a settlement through escalating dialectical events (discussions or conflicts).

Negotiated Settlement

Large Scale Military and Paramilitary Actions

Minor Military and Paramilitary Actions

Shadow government activities 

Increased political violence, terror, and sabotage

Negotiations with government representatives.

Intense sapping of government, administration, police, and military.

Increased underground activities to demonstrate strength of revolutionary organization. 

Sabotage and terror to demonstrate weakness of government.

Overt and covert pressures against government; strikes, riots, and disorders.  

Intensification of propaganda, increase in disaffection, psychological preparation for revolt.

Expansion of and coordination among resistance networks.

Establishment of formalized resistance elements; appeal to extraterritorial support infrastructure.  

Spreading subversive organizations into all sectors of life in a country/region.

Penetration into professional, social, and political organizations and into all parts of society.

Recruitment of like-minded individuals and others; indoctrination and use of these for organizational purposes. 

Infiltration of foreign agents and agitators, and foreign propaganda material, money, weapons, and equipment.

Increased agitation, unrest, and disaffection, infiltration of administration, police, and military and national organizations, and slowdowns and strikes.

Assassination, forming favorable public opinion (advocating national cause), creation of atmosphere of wider discontent through propaganda, likes, and political.

Creation of atmosphere of wider discontent through propaganda, lies, and political and psychological effort: discerning government, police, and military authorities.

Dissatisfaction with political, economic, social, administrative, and/or other conditions; national aspiration  (independence) or desire for ideological and  other changes. 

SORO Pyramid: Special Operations Research Office [1966 version] Special Warfare Center and School, Fort Bragg

 

SAMA HOOLE: >Mongols lived to 60-70 with zero chronic disease >Modern nutritionist eats balanced diet with whole grains >Develops type 2 diabetes at 45 >Clearly the Mongols were just lucky

>Be Mongol cavalry >Ride 60 miles daily >Eat nothing but dried meat and fermented mare's milk >Zero vegetables, zero grains, zero "balanced diet" >Conquer largest land empire in human history >Terrify civilisations from Korea to Hungary >Modern nutritionist studies your diet "This should have killed them by age 30" >Mongols lived to 60-70 with zero chronic disease >Modern nutritionist eats balanced diet with whole grains 

>Develops type 2 diabetes at 45 >Clearly the Mongols were just lucky 

J. MICHAEL WALLER: 2,000 CCP-linked influence organizations mapped across the US. Let's see how they integrate with mainstream politicians, businesses, and activists, as well as with the radicals.

Jamestown Foundation

J. Michael Waller.  Find Waller's interviews at the Bill Walton ShowCenter for Security Policy dot org.

The People's Republic of China is creating a network that undermines Democratic countries.  The Chinese Communist parties United Front is a weapon that it built that contains a network of its friends with an aim to weaken its enemies from within.  In my new report, I've mapped out how the CCP has built a network of more than 2,000 organizations in the United States, Canada, the UK, and Germany.  These aren't just cultural groups.  Some help with political influence, technology transfer, transnational repression, and even voter mobilization on Beijing's behalf.  The strategy is simple.  Co-op Civil Society, shape local politics, and normalize the CCP's interest inside democracies.  This report shows who these groups are, how they operate, and why transparency matters if we want to protect open societies.  The full report drops next week.  I hope you'll take a look.  Follow Jamestown for more Cutting Edge analysis.

MICHAEL LUCCI: How do you cripple an Air Force base & catalyze a nationwide outbreak in one stroke? You seed diseases into Vegas tourists around Nellis AFB.

"People Fell Deathly Ill After Entering Las Vegas AirBnB with Alleged Chinese-linked BioLab, Witness Claims," Ronny Reyes, New York Post, February 5, 2026. 

Nellis AFB.  

Unrestricted Warfare: China's Master Plan to Destroy AmericaLiang Qiao, 2021.

It was more convenient to call it "infectious" rather than "toxic," then no one could be blamed.

In Japan, it took 30 years and teams of lawyers to dismiss in court the idea that a virus was the cause of SMON, a blindness and paralysis that by 1971 had affected 11,000 people and cause thousands of deaths.  It was more convenient to call it infectious rather than toxic, then no one could be blamed.  It was only when professor Tadao Tsubaki, in true detective style, tracked the symptoms down and found that this disastrous nerve damage was a toxic reaction caused by a common antidiarrheal drug that the infectious theory was dropped and the toxic reaction accepted.