Wednesday, November 27, 2024

PETER ST ONGE: if we're talking 7 million illegals, there are at least 16 million Americans under the age of 35 who are out of the workforce

WILL MASS DEPORTATION CRASH THE ECONOMY?  

Left wing media, or is it left over media, is in full blown panic over mass deportation which is overwhelmingly supported by voters and therefore will happen.  Government funded NPR warns deportation will destroy the construction industry.  Fast Company says it will cripple California, which is already crippled in many ways.  The New York Times conjures a dystopia of Americans being forced to mow their own lawn and, brace yourself clean your own house.  So, is it true, will we have to clean our own hotel rooms?  Now nobody actually knows how many illegal workers there are.  That's kind of the point of being undocumented.  But the doom porn industry is clustering around an estimate of 6 million from a 2022 study.  Add at least another million or two, courtesy of Brandon.  Breaking it down, they estimate about a quarter to about a million and a half work in construction; another quarter in manufacturing, warehousing; yet another quarter in restaurant, retail, and hotels; and the final quarter in services from landscaping to picking fruit to janitors.  Note what all these jobs have in common is they are overwhelming lilo killed they take months or even a week to master.  This is not engineers and doctors.  This matters because even if we're talking 7 million illegals, there are at least 16 million Americans under the age of 35 who are out of the workforce.  They're not working.  They're not going to school. They're not doing anything.  Many are on government benefits.  Many others live with their parents.  According to the US Census Bureau, the percent of Americans who are 18 to 35 living with their parents just hit the highest since the Great Depression.  So why are they living with Mom and Dad at 30? Because entry level jobs pay peanuts when you are competing with illegals.  One large study in California found the average hourly pay is $30 for native born Americans.  For legal immigrants, it's $28 an hour, almost as good.  For green card holders, it's $24 an hour, and for illegals, it is $16 an hour, which just so happens to be California's minimum wage.  So why are illegals so cheap?  Because the vast majority are unskilled or even illiterate; that's why they could not get in legally.  Also because many are not paying taxes; they're undocumented after all.  Either way they bring the wages to the floor.  In other words, it's not that Americans won't do these jobs, it's that they won't do these jobs for minimum wage.  Keep in mind a lot of these jobs are hard work, so picking fruit in the hot sun, carrying slabs of sods sweating in a factory for minimum wage, there's no way to tempt basement dwelling 25-year-olds into the labor force.  Going back to the Doom p*** nobody is crippled because we don't lose the work the fruit is still picked the factory is still humming the hotel rooms Sparkle we simply do it with American workers who would otherwise be idle.  

The leftover media will keep pumping out deportation fear p*** and the economy will be just fine.  Blue collars will just have jobs that actually pay.  Yes, this will boost costs, but in return houses get cheaper.  Empty houses lower prices.  You'll be able to go to the hospital or find a specialist without waiting in line behind and illegal who has never paid a dime into Medicaid.  And, of course, government spending plunges as millions of welfare cases go home while millions  more get off Mom and Dad's couch and go to work.  

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