Showing posts with label Peter St. Onge. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Peter St. Onge. Show all posts

Thursday, September 19, 2024

FROM PRICE CONTROLS TO MASS STARVATION

From Price Controls to Mass Starvation by Peter St Onge

Read on Substack

From taxes to spending, Kamala is the most left-wing major party candidate since George McGovern -- who proposed a Universal Basic Income in 1972 and went on to win a single state.

But her most hare-brained scheme--so far--has been price controls, where she's to the left of McGovern, threatening to punish grocery stores for daring to charge more than their costs.

In fact, grocery stores make 1 to 2 pennies on the dollar, meaning they have to pass along costs that come straight from the Washington money printer.

That means price controls would, in short, break food. In a recent video, I mentioned how price controls have been tried many times, and each time they failed so spectacularly they were repealed. After much pain, suffering, and empty shelves.  

PRICE CONTROLS ALWAYS FAIL
In a recent video, I mentioned how price controls have been tried many times, and each time they failed so spectacularly they were repealed. After much pain, suffering, and empty shelves.

When France tried, they got a black market that actually did price gouge. Even Venezuela repealed price controls in 2016 after food shortages and nationwide riots.

But what do price controls look like in reality. For that, I go to a great thread by Robert Sterling, a former M&A executive at one of the biggest food producers in America.

Robert walks us through a thirteen-step process from grocery price controls to widespread food shortages -- something we haven't seen in this country since the Great Depression when FDR also imposed price controls. 

STAGE 1: BANKRUPT GROCERS
So, first, government announces grocery stores can't raise prices even though inflation continues -- courtesy of the Fed and Wall Street. That means their costs keep going up, so those pennies of profit turn into losses. Like any business that's losing money, they shut down.

Of course, not all grocery stores are created equal -- small ones lack economies of scale, and while rich people buy high-margin vegetables and expensive cuts, the poor buy low-margin packaged foods.

So the small stores and the low-income stores go first.

You get food deserts, as people in urban centers or rural areas have to drive miles -- or take multiple buses -- to find food. And, ironically, you get more concentration, as the little guys drop out.


The survivors increasingly aren't even selling food. They shift shelf space to things that aren't price-controlled. Clothing, furniture, supplements.

Grocery stores start to look more like a Dollar Store, with a little food and a lot of junk.

As cities clear of food, you'd need police patrolling parking lots and armed escorts on delivery trucks -- perhaps you could even have government-run groceries like Chicago just announced.

STAGE 2: BANKRUPT FOOD PRODUCERS
The only way to save any grocery stores is to price-control their costs. Meaning food producers like Kraft, Heinz, Tyson, and Hormel.

Of course, again, Kraft's costs aren't being controlled -- their ingredients, wages, parts, and electricity. So now they're losing money.

Like groceries, they wind down, closing marginal factories and running out of equipment then not replacing it.  

As food producers downsize or go under, now you start getting actual shortages. And the only solution -- once again -- is price control the next level down. Farmers.

STAGE 3: BANKRUPT FARMERS
Which brings us to the final stage. Remember, farmers, too, are now forced to sell at a low price, yet their inputs like fertilizer or tractors are still going up.  They, too, go under.

You are now full Venezuela with the only alternative to starvation a complete government takeover of the food supply, centrally planned from farmer to grocer.

As Sterling puts it, "the government will struggle to operate one of the most complex industries on the planet. The entire food supply chain starts imploding."  

“Imploding” [means] starvation

WHAT'S NEXT?
It's very unlikely we'll get to starvation. For the simple reason that at some point the frog boils and the voters -- or rioters -- share their thoughts with policymakers.

That's exactly why price controls fail, from France to Venezuala.  Having said that, we managed it before under FDR.

Unfortunately, if the morons running Kamala's brain trust are dumb enough for price controls, they're dumb enough for a whole lot more.

Every week I write an article on the top stories in economics with regular deep dives into history like the Fall of Rome, the Weimar hyperinflation, or FDR’s Great Depression.

Saturday, January 6, 2024

The latest revisions to payroll data show the U.S. economy added just 44,000 private-sector jobs in October

This bolsters the point made by Peter St. Onge that the productive sectors of the economy are shrinking

Monday, November 20, 2023

Illegal migrants pay roughly $.20 cents in taxes for every dollar they take from taxpayers even beyond the social costs of the crime

Of course, they still get treated if you walk into an American hospital without a penny to your name it is all free under the 1986 Emergency Medical Treatment & Labor Act.  So the rest of us have to fight with our HMOs, and they get gold-plated treatment, no questions asked, without paying a dime.  Of course, illegal migrants know this.  According to the report, many show up on dialysis or in need of heart surgery, because they know those $100,000 surgeries are all free in the US. 

How much do illegal immigrants cost American taxpayers?  Last month, liberal New York mayor Eric Adams said, "Migrants will destroy his city."  Last week, the House Committee on Homeland Security released a report on how much taxpayers spend on migrants.  They cited one study estimating $150 billion per year in government expenditure alone.  That's net of taxes and it comes out to $13,000 per illegal immigrant; that's every single year.  A separate study tried to include the millions of migrants currently pouring across the border pegging that at $451 billion dollars per year in government spending alone.  It's worth noting that this is just an opening bid considering the politicians and bureaucrats spending that money have every incentive to hide it.  The Homeland report breaks it down into healthcare costs, law enforcement costs, education, welfare, and costs to private property and border regions.  The background here is that compared to legal migrants, indeed compared to the general population, illegal migrants are sicker, lower-skilled, less educated, and go on welfare and commit crimes all at much higher rates.  Meaning they pay roughly $.20 cents in taxes for every dollar they take from taxpayers even beyond the social costs of the crime.  To give a sense of scale, the report estimates that nearly half the uninsured population as people without medical insurance are illegal immigrants.  Of course, they still get treated if you walk into an American hospital without a penny to your name it is all free under the 1986 Emergency Medical Treatment & Labor Act.  So the rest of us have to fight with our HMOs, and they get gold-plated treatment, no questions asked, without paying a dime.  Of course, illegal migrants know this.  According to the report, many show up on dialysis or in need of heart surgery, because they know those $100,000 surgeries are all free in the US.  The report profiled one hospital in Yuma, Arizona, indeed the only Hospital in Yuma, Arizona, that is so overburdened with migrants that Americans and legal immigrants have to drive 3 hours to get Specialist Care.  As the Yuma County Supervisor put it, "Our Emergency Room was overrun."  The problem goes far beyond Yuma.  The report cited a hospital in Connecticut where fully 1 in 4 of their patients are illegal aliens with a single migrant's treatment costing more than $1 million dollars.  Meanwhile, across the country, so many migrants have addiction issues that Americans and legal immigrants are waiting months to get help.  Open border advocates pretend that illegal migrants are the same as legal migrants, who do generally pay their way and work as hard or harder than natives,  but there is a world of difference between inviting people into your house and people breaking in like squatters.  Given the facts on the ground, uninvited migrants do not remotely contribute what they take.  $.20 cents on the dollar is not building America, it is bleeding us out all to the benefit of big business who gets cheap workers and passes the cost onto taxpayers, and then complains about how Americans are too lazy to work for peanuts.

"So what is next," brought to by Unchained. 

Washington is already on track to a $2 trillion dollar deficit, yet they stand ready to pour yet more trillions into every war, in every pretend climate crisis, every open border welfare case. We are accelerating into a sovereign debt crisis that Washington almost seems to want at this point.