Sunday, October 16, 2022

Ilhan Omar said she wanted Jews wiped out of Israel and she never got her bank account closed. Imagine that . . .

All fundamental arguments about just about everything go out the window, and it's all about the dollar vortex


Always check the show notes.  Title of the show is "FED Will Hike to 6% and Crash Everything, says Tom Luongo," dated October 12, 2022.

Antonio Atanasov and Tom Luongo are not your investment advisors. They likely own shares of companies mentioned in this publication. Always assume them biased.

Antonio, 1:02 I don't know about the other two asset classes [goats and guns], but gold has not been great over the last 52 weeks [Tom shaking his head in agreement], neither have my stocks.  What's up with that?  

Tom, 1:12  Well, we're in a dollar bull market, and when the dollar is in a bull market, everything else at this point, and certainly the severity of the dollar bull market, looking at the U.S. dollar index, it's trading at a 20-year high, 25-year high, it's immense.  This isn't a normal dollar market, or a normal bear market correction, or a bull market rally.  This is not a bear market rally.  This is a sincere bull market that is draining liquidity from every corner of the globe, and it is something that I expected to happen, because I expected the Federal Reserve to be aggressive at raising interest rates when they did decide to move back into the market.  I have a lot of reasons as to why I believe that.  I believed that previously, and then when the Fed started raising interest rates, I've actually been a little shocked that they've been aggressive as they have.  Actually, I'm edified because Powell is acting like how I would have acted had I been the chairman of the Fed, looking at the world the way that I look at it.  

2:20  Gold is priced, set at the margin by the future's market, and the future's market in gold, in the west, primarily, is a cash-settled market; it's not a gold-settled market.  People don't go in to buy gold futures to then take physical delivery of, you know, 400 ounces of LBMA bars, or 100 ounce Comex's.  They don't do that.  They go in to hedge their dollar risk.  And so know that they've got interest rate swaps, so they've got treasuries . . . so if they're worried about their dollar-based longs being--you know, how are you going to hedge your dollar-based longs?  You buy some gold, which is a short against the dollar.  Buy gold, sell dollars.  Or buy term to make dollars, and then you hedge your position.  

3:15  Under these types of moments in time, all fundamental arguments about gold go out the window.  All fundamental arguments about just about everything go out the window, and it's all about the dollar vortex.  It's all about the dollar vacuum, for lack of a better term.  We're seeing it in stocks, we're seeing it in bonds, we're seeing it in gold.  We're seeing it everywhere except basically in base commodities, okay, which have pumped and dumped over the last year and a half, post-COVID. 

3:47  So, why is that?  Well, stocks and bonds, real estate, car prices, stuff like that, they're all credit based.  When the credit cycle is virtuous, when the credit is expanding, and the central banks are all expanding their balance sheets, and they're at the zero bound and the money is cheap, people buy loans, they expand credit, they pump up prices, but we haven't produced any more real commodities.  We're just driving the prices of commodities up, because at some point, during that time that you're pumping up asset prices, money is not preferentially flowing into commodities during the asset bull market.  Commodity producers are getting crushed.  They're getting pushed down to their cost of production, cost of goods sold.  They're effectively on a cost-plus business model.  You're allowed to have cost plus 3%.  If you look at gold stocks through the bear markets, that's the way it's been.  And then gold hit a bottom in late 2015.  We're on a five-year up until Q3 of 2020.  Since then it's been in a bull market correction.  




Saturday, October 15, 2022

The Plot to Seize Russia

This interview is dated but quite good since Martin talks about how Yeltsin handed over Russia to Putin.  This interview comes from Geopolitics and Empire, a terrific website that covers lots of interesting topics.  

A summary of Martin's book which he is handing out to attendees at his next conference can be read here,

Martin Armstrong discusses his new book based on declassified documents where in the 1990s the West, NATO, and Russian oligarchy plotted to seize Moscow, loot Russia, and takeover its natural resources. Yeltsin turned to Putin who was not a communist and is not an oligarch. The Moscow apartment bombings or propaganda surrounding them being a false flag would likely have come from Boris Berezovsky. The Great Reset is basically a debt default and the EU is a disaster that will fall apart. At this point most of the attack on Russia is related to “climate change” and to shut down fossil fuels.

The plot was to seize control of Russia and installing their own man, Boris Berezovsky, and merge it into NATO, turning Russia into a vassal state with Berezovsky as president for life.  Later, he was sorry and wanted to return to Russia and wrote a letter to Putin.  Tell us what's really been going on between east and west . . . 

Yeltsin was being blackmailed from two sides, and his last words to Putin were "Take care of Russia."

"The right to individual autonomy is not absolute" says the Director of Law & Ethics at University of Chicago

Her name is Valerie Gutmann Koch.  Have these people learned, have they read, nothing?  The gal who is Director of Law & Ethics at the University of Chicago MacLean Center for Clinical Medical Ethics wants you to take a mandated vaccine, cites the 1918 flu as precedent for doing such things because she cannot offer any moral defense for her position.  What is it with all of these do-gooders who are prepared to do such evil with the population?  

Scott Gottlieb, Director of Pfizer, on the Executive Committee of Pfizer . . . went to Twitter and said [Alex Berenson] is a problem and then they banned me.


Berenson opens by referring to his article on Substack

BERENSON:  Andy Slavitt was talking to Twitter about who I was and that I was a problem for the White House, and I was discouraging people from getting the vaccines which the White House wanted and asking them why they hadn't banned me.  And we know that.  And we know that in July as vaccine efficacy was fading, the Administration very publicly and privately got upset and wanted the social media platforms, including Twitter, including Facebook, and start banning people.  And President Biden said on July 16, 2021 that Facebook and other platforms were killing people by allowing people like me, who were asking reasonable questions about the vaccines on their platforms.  Okay, then Twitter struck out at me in July.  They gave me 3 strikes and I'd already had 1 previous strike which I didn't even know about, so I was one strike away from being suspended at the end of July.  And by the Andy Slavitt, who was no longer at the White House but still at the center of this conspiracy and talking to Albert Bourla, who is the head of Pfizer and talking to people inside the Administration on practically a daily basis, was very upset that . . . he was continuing to push Twitter secretly to ban me.  Still, when I came back on the platform last year in August and asking even harder questions about the vaccines at a time when the Biden Administration knew they were going to be pushing for mandates, knew they were going to be pushing for boosters, they still wouldn't ban me.  And then Scott Gottlieb, who is a Director of Pfizer, on the Executive Committee of Pfizer, which has made tens of billions of dollars from selling these vaccines, went to Twitter and said this guy is a problem and then they banned me.  

CARLSON:  So you criticized his product in which he had a financial interest and he got you censored . . . Scott Gottlieb.  

BERENSON:  Ah, that's what it looks like on the documents that we have, yes. 
 
Oh, wow, this just got bumped up into a whole new level. Berenson wrote this morning that Scott Gottlieb defamed him on Squawk Box this morning, and it sounds like he did by insinuating that Berenson was making physical threats. Whoa.

I stand corrected.  Berenson claims that Gottlieb claimed he'd threatened Anthony Fauci.

Instead, he claimed that I had threatened Anthony Fauci.

Scott Gottlieb, like any good Nazi, doubles down on the violence, challenges some anonymous (or presumably Berenson) to a debate.  But isn't it richly ironic that this Jewish Nazi, whose product wasn't rested and subsequently killed and maimed people, that hw should with clenched teeth challenge anyone to a debate given that his only style of communication has been that of a serial liar.